Rebel (GII)

Oaklawn Park • Hot Springs, AR, USA 50-25-15-10-5
February 23, 2025

2025 Rebel Stakes Overview

The Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park has established itself as one of the most significant Kentucky Derby stepping stones over the past decade. The 2025 edition continued the race's tradition of identifying serious Triple Crown contenders, with Coal Battle joining an illustrious list of winners.

The race's recent history includes American Pharoah's memorable 6 1/4-length victory in 2015, which launched his historic Triple Crown campaign. Bob Baffert has dominated the race with eight victories, making it a key target for his top Derby prospects. The 1 1/16-mile distance has proven to be an ideal test for developing three-year-olds, with many winners successfully stretching out to classic distances.

Notable Rebel Stakes winners who went on to achieve Triple Crown race success include Curlin, Smarty Jones, and Lookin at Lucky. The race's timing on the calendar, typically about seven weeks before the Kentucky Derby, has made it a preferred spot for trainers looking to give their horses two preps before Louisville.

A significant handicapping trend shows that tactical speed has been crucial over the past decade, with most winners racing within striking distance of the pace. The race has also been a reliable predictor of Kentucky Derby success, producing multiple classic winners and champions.

For handicappers, the Rebel serves as a key gauge of a horse's ability to handle two turns against quality competition, while the timing allows for one more prep race before the Triple Crown series begins.


Rebel Stakes Race History

Although the Rebel Stakes (G2) at Oaklawn Park dates back to 1961, its significance on the Road to the Kentucky Derby has increased by leaps and bounds since the turn of the century.

Now held in late February after being a mid-March fixture for much of its recent history, the Rebel awards Kentucky Derby (G1) qualification points to the top five finishers on a 50-25-15-10-5 basis, essentially guaranteeing the winner a spot in the Churchill Downs starting gate on the first Saturday in May.

Originally known as the Rebel Handicap, the Rebel first rose to prominence in 1980, when the victorious Temperence Hill went on to win the Belmont S. (G1) and earn champion three-year-old male honors. Three years later, Sunny’s Halo parlayed a Rebel triumph into victory in the Kentucky Derby, which surely contributed to the race achieving Grade 3 status in 1990.

The Rebel was lengthened from 1 mile and 70 yards to its current distance of 1 1⁄16 miles in 1984, and the race continued to crank out high-profile runners through the 1990s and 2000s. A small sampling includes 1992 Preakness (G1) winner Pine Bluff, 1998 Belmont winner Victory Gallop, and beloved 2004 Kentucky Derby/Preakness hero Smarty Jones.

Beginning in 2004, the Rebel underwent a series of lucrative purse increases, climbing quickly from $125,000 to $1 million by 2020. The jump in prize money, coupled with a boost to Grade 2 status in 2008, prompted more and more talented horses to utilize the Rebel as a springboard toward the spring classics.

Indeed, the roster of Rebel winners during this timeframe reads like a “who’s who” of champions and classic winners. Lawyer Ron (2006), Curlin (2007), Lookin at Lucky (2010), Will Take Charge (2013), and American Pharoah (2015) all claimed top honors in the Rebel, and American Pharoah achieved special renown becoming the first horse in 37 years to sweep the Triple Crown.

American Pharoah’s Hall of Fame trainer, Bob Baffert, has been the dominant conditioner of Rebel winners, sending eight horses to the winner’s circle between 2010 and 2021. Yet the longstanding stakes record belongs to Vanlandingham, a Shug McGaughey trainee who clocked 1:41.00 in 1984. Vanlandingham later won three Grade 1 races on his way to champion older male honors of 1985.

The Rebel is—and will surely remain—one of the most important stops on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

By J. Keeler Johnson/TwinSpires.com


 

Results

Win

Place

Show

1

Coal Battle50

$25.80

$12

$6.40

5

Madaket Road25

$4.80

3

Sandman15

$12

$3.20

6

Publisher10

13

Tiztastic5

Payouts

Exacta

113.90

1/5

Trifecta

202.90

1/5/3

Superfecta

374.97

1/5/3/6

Double

153.70

4/1

Pick-3

1265.50

12/4/1

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Entries

Jockey

Owner

Trainer

Current odds

Wagers

1

Coal Battle

Vargas, Juan P.

Norman Stables LLC (Robert Norman)

Briley, Lonnie

10/1

2

Admiral Dennis

Geroux, Florent

Albaugh Family Stables LLC

Cox, Brad H.

12/1

3

Sandman

Torres, Cristian A.

D. J. Stables LLC (J & L Green), St Elias Stable (V & T Viola), West Point Thor

Casse, Mark E.

4/1

4

Hypnus

Hernandez Jr., Brian Joseph

Brookdale Racing, Inc.

McPeek, Kenneth G.

10/1

5

Madaket Road

Ortiz Jr., Irad

SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Determined

Baffert, Bob

9/2

6

Publisher

Prat, Flavien

Gus King & Estate of Brereton C. Jones (Elizabeth Jones, Executrix)

Asmussen, Steven M.

20/1

7

Dreaminblue

Arrieta, Francisco

Patterson, Randy, Vogel, Sam M and Morgan, Joe

Morse, Randy L.

15/1

8

Innovator

Bacon, Tyler W.

BC Stables LLC

Lukas, D. Wayne

15/1

9

Smoken Wicked

Gaffalione, Tyler

Valene Farms LLC

Stewart, Dallas

8/1

10

Bullard

Rispoli, Umberto

St. Elias Stable, Talla Racing LLC, Three Chimneys Farm and West Point Thoroughbreds

McCarthy, Michael W.

5/1

11

Speed King

Bejarano, Rafael

Triton Thoroughbreds LLC (T Bowman), Naber Racing, LLC (R Naber), Bryan Hennigan

Moquett, Ron

6/1

12

Brereton's Baytown

Bealmear, Joseph C.

Baytown Partnerships (C McEntee) & Trawitzki Thoroughbreds LLC (A Trawitzki)

McEntee, Paul

50/1

13

Tiztastic

Ortiz, Jose L.

Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC, Magnier, Mrs. John, Tabor, Michael B. and Smith, Derrick

Asmussen, Steven M.

8/1

14

Hot Gunner

Hernandez, Harry

7 Cedars Farm LLC

Young, Scott E.

50/1

Road to the Kentucky Derby

Fukuryu

March 29, 2025

Nakayama • Funabashi, Chiba, Japan

Points: 40-20-12-8-4

Arkansas Derby (GI)

March 29, 2025

Oaklawn Park • Hot Springs, AR, USA

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

Florida Derby (GI)

March 29, 2025

Gulfstream Park • Hallandale Beach, FL, USA

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

UAE Derby (GII)

April 5, 2025

Meydan Racecourse • Dubai, UAE

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

Santa Anita Derby (GI)

April 5, 2025

Santa Anita Park • Arcadia, CA, USA

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

Blue Grass (GI)

April 5, 2025

Keeneland • Lexington, KY, USA

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

Wood Memorial (GII)

April 5, 2025

Aqueduct • New York, NY, USA

Points: 100-50-25-15-10

Lexington (GIII)

April 12, 2025

Keeneland • Lexington, KY, USA

Points: 20-10-6-4-2

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