Study Guide: 2021 John Battaglia Memorial

Feb 23, 2021 J. Keeler Johnson

The $100,000 John Battaglia Memorial at Turfway Park has long served as a local steppingstone toward the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), Turfway's signature race. But Friday's renewal of the John Battaglia is the most significant to date—for the first time, the 1 1/16-mile race serves as a Road to the Kentucky Derby prep event awarding qualification points to the top four finishers on a 10-4-2-1 basis.

Gretzky the Great
Total 5 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (92) when winning the Soaring Free S.
Wins: 3 Total Earnings: $272,205
Place: 1
Show: 0
Owner: Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners and Gary Barber Sire: Nyquist
Breeder: Anderson Farms Ont. Dam: Pearl Turn
Trainer: Mark Casse Color: Bay
Jockey: Gerardo Corrales

A son of 2016 Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, Gretzky the Great is easily the most accomplished runner in the John Battaglia field. A two-time stakes winner, Gretzky the Great used his pace-tracking speed to dominate the Summer (G1) at Woodbine last fall by 3 1/4 lengths. Although he hasn't run since finishing sixth against a tough field in the Nov. 6 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), Gretzky the Great has been training forwardly for his return and looks tough to beat under hot jockey Gerardo Corrales. Don't forget, Gretzky the Great broke his maiden over the Tapeta track at Woodbine last summer, so switching from turf to the Tapeta footing at Turfway shouldn't be an issue.

The Predicament
Total 8 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (86) when breaking his maiden at Turfway.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $61,230
Place: 5
Show: 2
Owner: Ramspring Farm and Blazing Meadows Farm Sire: Gemologist
Breeder: Ramspring Farm and Clay B. Patrick Dam: Granby Girl
Trainer: Timothy Hamm Color: Bay
Jockey: Rafael Hernandez

An experienced runner with eight starts under his belt, The Predicament required seven starts to break his maiden, finally doing so in a six-furlong sprint at Turfway. The consistent gelding has never finished out of the trifecta, but his most recent effort—a runner-up finish in a six-furlong allowance race at Turfway—suggests he'll need improvement to keep his streak alive in the John Battaglia. 

Twirling Mamba
Total 4 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (82) when winning a Turfway allowance race.
Wins: 2 Total Earnings: $40,759
Place: 0
Show: 0
Owner: Sandra Sexton and Ortiz Racing Stables Sire: Twirling Candy
Breeder: Sandra Sexton Dam: Bluster
Trainer: John Ortiz Color: Dark bay/brown
Jockey: Albin Jimenez

Speed is the name of the game for Twirling Mamba, who hails from the high-percentage barn of trainer John Ortiz. The son of Twirling Candy clearly relished the Turfway Tapeta in a six-furlong allowance race on Jan. 23, tracking a fast pace before charging clear to beat The Predicament by 2 1/4 lengths. But Twirling Mamba has never run farther than seven furlongs, and with a career-best 82 Brisnet Speed rating under his belt, he'll need a step forward to vie for victory against tougher company on Friday.

Like the King
Total 4 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (91) when wiring a Turfway allowance race.
Wins: 2 Total Earnings: $39,380
Place: 1
Show: 1
Owner: M Racing Group Sire: Palace Malice
Breeder: Horseshoe Racing Dam: Like a Queen
Trainer: Wesley Ward Color: Chestnut
Jockey: Rafael Bejarano

Leading trainer Wesley Ward has won at a 33% rate at Turfway since the beginning of 2021, stamping Like the King as a contender to fear in the John Battaglia. A 7 1/2-length maiden winner racing a mile on turf, Like the King thrived when switching to Tapeta for a Dec. 4 allowance race at Turfway, leading all the way to win the one-mile heat by 3 1/2 easy lengths. This eye-catching victory produced a 91 Brisnet Speed rating (the second-highest figure in Friday's field), so don't be surprised if Like the King posts another gate-to-wire win in the John Battaglia. 

Kinetic Sky
Total 3 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (82) when breaking his maiden at Fair Grounds.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $38,370
Place: 1
Show: 1
Owner: Robert V. LaPenta Sire: Runhappy
Breeder: Elm Tree Farm, Curt Leake, TimeWill Tell, and Warren Harang Dam: Sky America
Trainer: Brad Cox Color: Bay
Jockey: Deshawn Parker

Fair Grounds maiden winner Kinetic Sky has already faced some quality rivals, coming home third behind future Risen Star (G2) runner-up Proxy in a Nov. 26 maiden heat. But the son of Runhappy has never run on synthetic and brings a career-best 82 Brisnet Speed rating to the mix, suggesting the John Battaglia will be a tougher test than usual for Kinetic Sky.

Pico d'Oro
Total 8 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (89) when winning the Juvenile S. at Ellis Park.
Wins: 2 Total Earnings: $114,697
Place: 1
Show: 1
Owner: Sandin Syndicate Stable Sire: Curlin
Breeder: Southern Equine Stables and Southern Equestrian Stables Dam: Michelle d'Oro
Trainer: William Morey Color: Bay
Jockey: John McKee

As a son of Curlin out of a Bernardini mare, Pico d'Oro is bred top and bottom to thrive over classic distances. So it's a bit surprising to note that Pico d'Oro boasts a 2-0-0-0 record running long and a 6-2-1-1 record sprinting, with the latter resume highlighted by a stretch-running victory in the Juvenile S. at Ellis Park. On the bright side, Pico d'Oro is already proven at Turfway, flashing more tactical speed than usual to win a six-furlong allowance sprint in December. But the 1 1/16-mile distance of the John Battaglia might prove to be out of Pico d'Oro's reach. 

Hard Rye Guy
Total 5 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (84) when finishing second in a Turfway allowance race.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $38,968
Place: 1
Show: 1
Owner: Bourbon Lane Stable Sire: Hard Spun
Breeder: Godolphin and John R. Penn Dam: La Pomme d'Amour
Trainer: Ian Wilkes Color: Chestnut
Jockey: Chris Landeros

After displaying only so-so form on turf and dirt, Hard Rye Guy took a big step forward when switching to Tapeta at Turfway. A rallying maiden win racing one mile was followed by a close runner-up effort in an allowance race over the same distance. The son of Hard Spun is progressing in the right direction, though his Brisnet Speed ratings suggest a top-four finish might be the ceiling for his potential against tougher competition in the John Battaglia.

Hush of a Storm
Total 3 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (85) when winning a Turfway allowance race.
Wins: 2 Total Earnings: $14,090
Place: 0
Show: 0
Owner: Joseph P. Morey Jr. Revocable Trust Sire: Creative Cause
Breeder: Hush Now Dam: Hush Now
Trainer: William Morey Color: Bay
Jockey: Santiago Gonzalez

Unbeaten in two starts over the Turfway Tapeta, Hush a Storm is a mid-pack closer with eye-catching acceleration. After dominating a one-mile maiden race by 5 1/2 lengths, Hush of a Storm jumped up in class for a one-mile allowance race and rallied tenaciously to beat Hard Rye Guy by three-quarters of a length. Hush of a Storm's proven affinity for the local course is a positive, and trainer Bill Morey has been hot at Turfway this winter, winning at a lofty 29% rate. Ignore this improving youngster at your own risk.

Fort Moultrie
Total 2 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (89) when breaking his maiden at Turfway.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $14,090
Place: 0
Show: 0
Owner: Helen C. Alexander Sire: Mosler
Breeder: Helen C. Alexander Dam: Lovely Moon
Trainer: Reeve McGaughey Color: Dark bay/brown
Jockey: Rodney Prescott

Although Fort Moultrie failed to fire in his debut racing one mile at Turfway, the son of Mosler improved tremendously in his second start, rallying from a few lengths off the pace to narrowly win a 1 1/16-mile maiden race. By holding off Bakwena through the drive, Fort Moultrie posted a sharp 89 Brisnet Speed rating, suggesting one more small step forward could put him in the hunt for victory on Friday.

Notable Exception
Total 3 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (77) when winning his debut at Arlington Park.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $22,550
Place: 0
Show: 0
Owner: Calumet Farm Sire: Street Sense
Breeder: Calumet Farm Dam: Poco Mas
Trainer: Jack Sisterson Color: Bay
Jockey: Declan Cannon

A son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, Notable Exception has failed to challenge in his last two starts on dirt, including a distant defeat in the American Pharoah (G1). But the Calumet Farm homebred has been freshened since October and posted a romping 5 1/4-length victory in his debut over the synthetic Polytrack at Arlington Park, suggesting a switch to Tapeta for the John Battaglia will be right in his wheelhouse. Now Notable Exception just needs improvement on the speed figure scales—his career-best 77 Brisnet Speed rating leaves him with a lot of ground to make up.

Catman
Total 6 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (86) when winning the Laurel Futurity.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $118,532
Place: 1
Show: 0
Owner: Paradise Farms Corp., David Staudacher, John Piehowicz, Angelo Carlesimo, and Mike Maker Sire: Kitten's Joy
Breeder: Steve Feiger and Kenneth L. & Sarah K. Ramsey Dam: Fab Flowers
Trainer: Mike Maker Color: Bay
Jockey: Emmanuel Equivel

Winner of the Laurel Futurity racing 1 1/16 miles over yielding turf last fall, Catman has shown a variety of running styles while competing at six different tracks in as many starts. But the son of Kitten's Joy hasn't seriously factored in his last three runs (all against stakes company), so bettors will have to hope the switch to Tapeta reawakens Catman's competitive spirit.

Warrior in Chief
Total 3 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (88) when breaking his maiden at Churchill Downs.
Wins: 1 Total Earnings: $52,448
Place: 0
Show: 0
Owner: Three Chimneys Farm, Fern Circle Stables, and C & H Diamond Racing Sire: Kantharos
Breeder: Woods Edge Farm Dam: On Reflection
Trainer: Kenny McPeek Color: Bay
Jockey: Robby Albarado

Warrior in Chief lost his first two starts sprinting, but relished the chance to stretch out over 1 1/16 miles in his third run, employing pace-pressing tactics to narrowly win over 1 1/16 miles at Churchill Downs. Trainer Kenny McPeek has been hot at Turfway this winter, winning at a 24% rate, and Warrior in Chief's career-best 88 Brisnet Speed rating stamps him as a contender. Butt he son of Kantharos has never run on synthetic, a meaningful question mark in this field of proven Tapeta performers.

Bakwena
Total 3 start(s) Top Speed Rating: (89) when finishing second in a Turfway maiden race.
Wins: 0 Total Earnings: $9,490
Place: 1
Show: 1
Owner: Silverton Hill Sire: Graydar
Breeder: Silverton Hill Dam: Oculuna
Trainer: Darrin Miller Color: Gray/roan
Jockey: Rodney Prescott

With a maximum field of 12 allowed to start in the John Battaglia, Bakwena has been placed on the also-eligible list as #13. That's understandable since the son of Graydar has yet to win in three starts, though he did take a notable step forward in his most recent effort, rallying to finish second by a head against Fort Moultrie. Bakwena isn't overmatched from a Brisnet Speed rating perspective, so If a scratch from the main body of the field allows him to start, Bakwena's pure late-running style could potentially land him a top-four finish at huge odds.

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